| Reducing financial risk and investment strategy in the future |
| ¡¡Hits£º1602¡¡AddTime£º2020/5/19 10:00:13 |
| To reduce financial risks and investment strategies for the future, we just talked about 47 trillion in 2008, 172 trillion now. You know how much 13 trillion was in 2000. Of course, 130000 can't be pushed back. If you want to push back, it was 500 billion in 1993, and the resident deposit was only 500 billion, right? Now, how much is the resident's deposit, right? I think the bank's deposit, the Chinese resident's deposit should be about 64 trillion, right? In other words, the liquidity of residents' deposits is impossible to be free of excess. We don't say that it was 13 trillion yuan in 2000, but now it is 172 trillion yuan. How many times do you want to increase it? What do you think of a 10 fold increase in house prices in Beijing? It's just that there is not too much devaluation. The phenomenon of house price is always a monetary phenomenon. The monetary phenomenon is only one aspect of the monetary phenomenon. This Friedman said that all inflation is a monetary phenomenon. That's right. This m2 in China is from 13 to 172 trillion yuan. Then you find that there is no inflation. It's strange. Why hasn't it been inflated? Because our house price is not included in the CPI, right? Part of the rent is by the water. If you change the house price here, of course, the house price itself should not be included in the CPI, but we can understand the real estate market. It's not great that the house price is 10 times higher, because your M2 is more than 13 times higher, 13 times higher Not only right, so the real estate is just an investment object of value preservation for all of you here. It's not worth talking about the increase in value, is it? Because in fact, the increase of house prices in many places of your country is not as fast as the increase of this currency, so why do so many people worry that the middle class worries that the poor are not qualified for education? Because there's no money, right? Alas, the most anxious thing is the middle class. Because he thinks that the money he earns, the salary he earns, is far less than the speed at which the money increase is diluted, right? Money is not enough, and no amount of money is enough, right? It's not enough to earn 5000, not enough to earn 10000, not enough to earn 50000, because the house price is rising too much, so the capital premium brought by the rising house price can't be filled or countered by your hard work. This situation is not only the same in China and the United States, but also in China and the United States. My uncle came back from the United States and stayed there For many years, I have been working as a professor. Let him judge whether my latest data is correct. From 2008 to now, the wealth of the rich in the United States has increased by a little more than 17%, but the income of the middle class is about 20%. His life experience tells us, that's all. Why? It's very simple, because we just talked about the era of capital surplus, an era in which the society plays the game of making money with money. The value-added of capital far exceeds the income of the so-called palm wage growth, so the gap between the rich and the poor is widening. It's the same in the United States from 2008 to now, especially in China. So your middle class is in the middle of two extremes, right? You are so anxious. Let me give you a simple example. Do you think the richest people in China now want to challenge the value of the richest people in the world? Ah, why? Have you thought about it, Of course, there are his own efforts, his enterprise's decision-making or the success of the card position, right? But what's more, he has entered a capital appreciation event. The Federal Reserve's debt table was only hundreds of billions of dollars in the early years, and now it has become Four point five Trillions of dollars. It needs to be compressed back. If it is compressed back, liquidity will shrink. Now the European Union finally understands that At the same time, it's not necessary to talk about China's contraction, because China's currency overgrowth is the most powerful in the world. So far, this game is actually not going to play, so the world has entered an era of currency contraction. This is a big background, so China is more powerful, so why China is more powerful ? Because the past 10 years is the decade of China's financial barbarism. There are several characteristics of the barbarism. One is that our system can't keep up with it. The currency is rampant. In addition to the excessive growth, then in terms of our system, our financial management is a separate management, but the main body is a mixed industry, so this has formed a huge regulatory loophole and difficulty It's hard. The level of financial profit is far higher than that of manufacturing industry, so you can't help it. Look at the profits of the two dozen banks that we listed. The profits of the whole listed company, that is, 3 trillion yuan, are less than 2 trillion yuan and 2 trillion yuan. The profits of the banks account for more than half of the total. So every large enterprise now I'm going to engage in finance in all areas. Alas, do you have any hope that finance will eat up so much profit in manufacturing industry? Then there's another one that's brought about by the technology revolution, which is called Internet finance, which is a huge breakthrough for traditional finance. On the positive side, it releases the demand of the whole social finance, and on the negative side, it's the sharp risk, especially the cash loan In fact, it's traditional usury, networking, nationalization, nationalization, which is a very horrible thing, of course |
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